Outcome analytics · local-first
Value Density
Outcomes achieved per unit of user cost. Time, friction, cognitive load, error, regret, and harm belong in the denominator or guardrails—not in a vanity engagement chart.
Portfolio signal
| Sessions | 16 |
|---|---|
| Success | 87.5% |
| Guardrail pass | 87.5% |
| Mean VD | 0.501 |
| Median VD | 0.487 |
| P10 / P90 | 0.073 / 0.973 |
| 90% bootstrap interval | 0.354 – 0.665 |
| User hours | 0.652 |
| Regret rate | 12.5% |
| Outcome Rating Points | 0.993 |
Variants
intent-first-ui0.877
8 sessions · 100.0% success · 100.0% guardrail passnavigation-ui0.125
8 sessions · 75.0% success · 75.0% guardrail passIntent summaries
| Intent | Sessions | Mean VD | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| approve supplier invoice | 16 | 0.501 | 87.5% |
Comparisons
- intent-first-ui vs navigation-ui: 0.752 absolute lift (601.4% relative)
Read before deciding
- Small sample: treat intervals and lifts as directional, not causal evidence.
- Single-intent sample: do not generalize the score across product jobs.